Choose One Good System and Stick to It!
Hello
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My special appreciation to Ivan for joining our lending team at Kiva.org.
Thanks Ivan! I kiss your generous hands.
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As you saw I published some signals last night which was Sunday afternoon. It is exactly the time that the forex market becomes opened and starts working. Sometimes we have some good signals forming from the previous week. So I thought it is a good idea to have the signals posted on the weblog because probably some of you are able to login and take some positions on Sunday afternoon. The Sunday afternoon signals will be posted on 16:00 EST (21:00 GMT) which is one hour sooner than the time that signals are posted on the site during the normal business days. So if you like to take your Sunday afternoon positions on time you have to be here at 16:00 EST.
Tip of the day: Choose one good system and get stuck to it!
Some of you may have been learning and practicing forex trading for a long time but have not been able to reach to any reasonable level. One of the most important reasons is that you always look for a new system to try and test. There are thousands of different systems over the internet and if you really want to try each of them you will not become a profitable forex trader. Choosing a good system is a different story that I have to talk about it later. What I want to talk about here is that as soon as you found a good system and you felt comfortable and happy with it, you should stop looking for another system and get stuck to the one that you have found. It takes a long time to become expert in using a system. So when you shift from one system to another one, if fact you waste the time that you have spend to learn and try the previous system because you just leave it before you learn it properly.
As I have already motioned, forex is really different from everything you have done so far. In other businesses, we should always look for some better and optimum ways to improve and progress but in forex we should not do that. I mean as soon as we reach to a good level and we have a good system that we feel happy and comfortable with it, we are done and we have to stop looking around. We have to get focused on what we have. If we want to learn more, this learning has to be related to different parts of the system we are using. For example if our system is based on candlestick signals we should keep on reading more about the candlesticks but at the same time that we are learning more, we have to be careful that our new knowledge doesn’t make any negative impact on the system rules that took us a long time to develop.
Having a good system is one thing and being loyal to its signals and rules is something else. As soon as you develop a good system, you should be disciplined enough to follow its rules and signals and you should not let something you learn or hear from the other resources have any negative impact on your system.
Developing a system is not just limited to setting some special rules on a peace of paper and then looking at them when you want to trade. A system doesn’t work on the paper. A system is well developed only when you as the trader become able to find and follow the signals. So a system has to be fully formed and developed in your mind not on the paper. You can invent one new system everyday but it can take over one year to become expert in using a system.
Today signals will be posted in the below table at 17:00 EST which is 22:00 GMT. Be on time!
Announcement (00:18 GMT, 17 Feb): Ok! We are done for tonight. No more orders. Click here if you are late.
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Note: |
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| CP | What to Do? | Entry Price | Stop Loss | Trailing Stop | Take Profit | Results |
| EUR/USD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| GBP/USD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| USD/CHF | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| USD/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
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| USD/CAD | Sell (00:12 GMT, 176th Feb) | 1.2415 | 1.2797 | 40 | 1.2365 | This was a fake signal posted by hackers! |
| USD/SGD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| USD/NOK | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| USD/SEK | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| USD/DKK | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
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| EUR/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EUR/CHF | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EUR/GBP | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EUR/AUS | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EUR/CAD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EUR/NOK | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
|
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| GBP/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| GBP/CHF | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| GBP/AUS | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| GBP/CAD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
|
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| CHF/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHF/SGD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
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| CAD/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAD/CHF | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
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| AUS/USD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| AUS/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| AUS/CAD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| AUS/CHF | Sell (22:01 GMT, 16th Feb) | 0.7539 | 0.7967 | 80 | 0.7439 | +100 (20:54 GMT, 17 Feb) |
| AUS/NZD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| AUS/SGD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
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| NZD/USD | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NZD/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
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| SGD/JPY | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
Total: |
+100 | |||||
Further Reading:
- Forex Basics:
What Is Forex and How to Make Money with It?
Is Forex a Suitable Business for Everybody?
When You Will Be A Professional Forex Trader?
Currency Pairs Explained - Understanding the Currency Pairs in Forex Trading
Currency Pairs Correlation in Forex Market: Cross Currency Pairs
How to Choose the Best Currency pairs for Forex Trading
What Thomas Edison Can Teach You about Trading Forex!
A
Letter from God to Forex Traders!
Ten
Important Forex Trading Tips
- Money Management:
Money Management is a Critical Part of Forex Trading
Risk/Reward Ratio in Forex Trading
How to Make $53,000 per Month through Forex Trading
Where Is the Best Place for Stop Loss and Limit Orders?
When Should You Get Out of a Bad Position?
- Candlesticks:
The Language of Japanese CandleSticks - The Only Real Time Indicators
Doji Candlestick - Doji Star - How to Trade Using Doji Candlestick and Bollinger Bands
What Is Heikin-Ashi and How to Trade with It?
- Price Chart:
Forex Charts - How to Use Different Types of Charts in Forex Trading
Renko Chart - How to Trade Using Renko Charts
- Technical Analysis:
How to Use Technical Analysis in Forex and Stock Trading?
How to Trade Using Trendlines, Head and Shoulders, Triangles, Double Tops and Bottoms, Flags, Pennants, Wedges...
How to Use Moving Averages in Forex Trading
How to Use Pivot Points in Forex and Stock Trading?
How to Use Bollinger Bands in Forex and Stock Trading
How to Use MACD or Moving Average Convergence / Divergence in Forex and Stock Trading
How to Trade Forex During the News Time
- Fibonacci:
How To Use Fibonacci Numbers in Forex and Stock Trading
More About Using Fibonacci in Forex Trading
How the Forex Market Reacts to Fibonacci Levels
- Tools, Indicators and Templates to Download:
Download Heikin Ashi and Smoothed Heikin Ashi Indicator and Template for MetaTrader
Have All timeframes on One Single Chart in Your MetaTrader Platform (MT4)


Hello,
Did you see the PLN crosses. Today on EURPLN I made about +1500pips in one trade. Tomorrow I expect a higher profit on this pair.
Hi Bzyqe,
Good for you! Unfortunately I didn’t check that one but will have an eye on it too. Thanks!
Best regards,
Vahid
Hi Vahid,
Is the EUR/CAD trade from yesterday still on?
Best regards,
fxyts
Hi,
Yes it is still open.
Best regards,
Vahid
Thanks for the great signal! I decided to TP at +80 and go to Kiva
Hi Vahid.
In your analysis, do you consider news events like the RBA meeting?
Thanks
-Jim
Hi Jim,
No; I don’t consider them.
Best regards,
Vahid
Thanks. Do you find that news events are typically priced in and the prevailing trend outweighs the news outcome?
Hi Jim,
It is correct that a news becomes released at a special time and it causes the market to move but whatever the news is, it has already shown its effect on the chart. For example when a news causes the price to go down, we should have already seen a sell signal on the chart. Of course I am talking about big time frames like daily. You can not see this on small time frames.
So we can not say that the prevailing trend outweighs the news or visa versa. They both work with each other. Before a news becomes released, we should have already seen its effect on the chart because a news is in fact an economic event that has started to show its effect several days or even months before it becomes released as a news.
Hope this helps. If you don’t agree with my idea we can discuss more.
Best regards,
Vahid
Yes, it does help. It seems like buy the rumor, sell the news can apply to currency trading too.
Vahid, I am sure you have heard it many times before, but it’s worth repeating. Your gift for being able to explain things is priceless. You are a great teacher and I am fortunate to be your student.
I am so glad I stumbled on to your blog and to have you as a friend.
-Jim
Hi Vahid -
After following your signals and analysis for a few days I continue ot be impressed at the high quality of stuff here at your site. Not just good signals but great education for us up-and-coming fx traders. Thank you again for your efforts and the outstanding signal-to-noise ratio here. Lot of good folks participating, and that’s a great thing!
One question of clarification if I may: I agree with your “late” policy of using a 20-pip “grace period” to enter a position when it moves as expected so as not to get into a position too late. However, am I correct in understanding that if you make a long recommendation and the price when I get to my screen is 25 or 30 pips below your entry price, that it’s still okay to enter at that ‘better’ price? Or do you apply that 20-pip range both ways?
Example:
You call a long signal at 1.2345.
OPTION A: I’m late and when I get to my system and the pair is at 1.2355 — +20 points. I would likely NOT take the entry.
OPTION B: I’m late and when I get to my system the pair is at 1.2315 — 30 points BELOW the intended long entry point. Given your analysis, Is that still a ‘good’ entry point provided I move? Or is it your belief that since that is more than 20 points away from your entry point to disregard the trade? Of course I would confirm that with my own chart reading and perhaps adjust my target/stops, but I just want to make sure I understand your guidance correctly.
Again, thanks — keep up the great efforts!
Rick
Hi Rick,
Thanks for your attentions.
The 20 pips was just an example. When I post a buy signal on the site and you are late and the price has already gone up for let’s say 30 pips and the target is 100 pips, you can still take it but set your target to 70 pips and not 100 pips. But if the price is lower than my entry price, it is even better to take it because you will buy cheaper and you can add the number of pips that you are buying cheaper than me to your target.
It is the same as short positions. When I post a sell signal on the site and you are late and the price has already gone down for let’s say 30 pips and the target is 100 pips, you can still take it but set your target to 70 pips and not 100 pips. But if the price is higher than my entry price, it is even better to take it because you will sell higher and you can add the number of pips that you are selling higher than me to your target.
Hope this helps.
Best regards,
Vahid
USDJPY bullish uptrend on daily chart confirmed.
Last price 92.65
USD is still bullish but so is Gold !
Decoupling is here at last ?
Vahid,
I just would like to ask your opinion if you are aware or not of the trading strategy proposed by John L. Person that is trading on Pivot Points and Candlesticks. What is your opinion on this strategy..? Could you please tell me about this..? I know that you told us today regarding to get stuck to our trading strategy. Before I go deep into it, I just wanna know your view on the pivot points and candlesticks proposed by John L. Person.
Thanks and cheers - PRIA
Welcome back Vahid!
ooo.. Coming Back yaa… What was the motive of the guy hacking this web..? what is the benefit for him/her..?
Sorry to hear of your site problem : (
USD still bullish.
USDJPY still bullish.
Last price 93.50
Hi Vahid
Welcome back !! Glad to see everything is up and ruinning again. I take it we will have some signals again - can wait !!!
Regards
Eugene
Welcome back!!
Glad to see the site back up !!!
Great Post! I am loving it. Will come back again - taking your feeds also.
@vahid
thanks for your kind generousity
I have a system and i will try to stick with it
best regard
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